SEVERE WEATHER WARNING

[Gad]

For people in the

Wide Bay and Burnett,

Southeast Coast and parts of the

Capricornia Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:02 am Sunday, 24 February 2013.

Synoptic Situation:

At 10am AEST Sunday, a slow moving upper trough and associated upper low were situated across central Queensland. The upper trough and low are expected to move slowly eastwards while amplifying tonight and into Monday. A surface trough off the central and southeast Queensland coast is expected to move onto the coast during Monday.

Areas of HEAVY RAIN, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop overnight tonight and during Monday. 24 hour totals of between 100 to 200mm are likely, with locally heavier totals in excess of 200mm possible particularly near the coast and about adjacent inland areas. Periods of more intense rain may deliver totals of up to 100mm over a shorter duration of up to 6 hours.

Locations which may be affected include Gladstone, Gympie, Bundaberg, Kingaroy, Hervey Bay, Fraser Island, the Sunshine Coast and adjacent hinterland areas, Brisbane, Ipswich and the Gold Coast and adjacent hinterland areas.

Emergency Management Queensland advises that people should:

* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.

* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.

* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

The above rainfall forecasts,I think, will be dependent on where that surface trough positions itself. Ie:if it stays off the coast, or if it does move onto the coastline etc.

If it stays off the coast the bulk of the heavier rain will be more coastal and offshore. At the moment the indications are of an offshore to onshore feed.

If it moves onto the shoreline or inland, inland areas would also pick up some localised heavier rain totals

Also as a maybe to follow this, a couple of the models are suggesting that 2 Lows may pop up close to one another (1st March – 9th March) in the northern inland of the state and produce another substantial(?)rain event that may come down to the SEQ region also.

[Gad]

Seqwater releases Wivenhoe, North Pine

Saturday 23 February 2013 - Water Release Update

For detailed information on road and crossing closures and other potential impacts, always contact your local council. For river level information, please visit the Bureau of Meteorology’s website, www.bom.gov.au.

Due to rainfall earlier this week, the Seqwater Flood Operations Centre was mobilised at 10am on Tuesday 19 February 2013.

As at 6.30 pm on Saturday, 23 February 2013, the following applies:

Rainfall Outlook

The Bureau of Meteorology is predicting a widespread, slow moving rain event will impact South East Queensland early next week. Some minor showers are expected Sunday, increasing to heavy rainfall on Monday and Tuesday.

The Bureau predicts that over Monday and Tuesday, the following average rainfall catchment depths will apply: Wivenhoe Dam catchment, up to 100mm, Somerset Dam catchment, from 100mm – 150mm, North Pine Dam catchment, 150mm – 200mm, Leslie Harrison Dam catchment, 150mm – 200mm.

Somerset Dam is currently at 100%. Flood releases from Somerset Dam have concluded. The lake level is being maintained through operational releases from the regulator valves. Releases may be increased once further rain occurs.

Wivenhoe Dam is currently at 90%. Releases are continuing to bring the dam back to the temporary full supply level of 88%. Approximately 150 cubic metres per second is currently being released and Twin Bridges and Savages Crossing will remain closed while this release continues. The rate of release is likely to be increased to 300 cubic metres per second on Sunday. This would aim to return the dam to the temporary full supply level of 88% before forecast heavy rain on Monday.

If releases are increased on Sunday to accommodate forecast rain, Colleges Crossing will be closed on Sunday night and is likely to remain closed until the rain system clears the dam catchments. If actual rainfall exceeds current predictions, it is possible that other bridges may be closed during the week.

Please contact your local council for details of road and crossing closures.

North Pine Dam

No flood releases are currently occurring from North Pine Dam. The lake level is currently at 97%. However, in preparation for the forecast widespread rain expected after the weekend, consideration is being given to making a release of water from North Pine Dam on Sunday night. If undertaken, this will close Young’s Crossing from around 8:00pm on Sunday night until 6:00am on Monday morning.

Leslie Harrison Dam

No flood releases are currently occurring from Leslie Harrison Dam. The lake level is steady at 94%. If predicted rainfall occurs, releases may be required from Sunday night.

Ungated Dams

Due to rainfall in the catchment, the following un-gated dams are currently spilling:

• Baroon Pocket Dam

• Borumba Dam

• Cedar Pocket Dam

• Cooloolabin Dam

• Enoggera Dam

• Gold Creek Dam

• Hinze Dam

• Lake Clarendon

• Lake MacDonald

• Lake Manchester

• Little Nerang Dam

• Moogerah Dam

• Nindooinbah Dam

• Wappa Dam

[Gad]

MTSAT Water Vapor Image:

/>http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shwvgms.html

showing the build up,inland from the Capricorn/ Rocky coast where the swirl is building, maye in the Emerald area??

[Gad]

Issued at 1:55 pm EST on Sunday 24 February 2013

Warning Summary at issue time

A Severe Weather Warning for Heavy Rainfall has been issued for tonight and Monday.

For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld

UPDATED Southeast Coast District

Forecast for Sunday

Scattered showers increasing to rain areas from the north with moderate to heavy falls. Cloudy with isolated thunderstorms and light to moderate E to NE winds.

Monday Rain areas and isolated storms. Heavy falls.

Tuesday Rain areas and isolated storms. Moderate to heavy falls possible.

Wednesday Rain areas, easing to showers.

/>http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-02-24/dams-in-south-east-queensland-lowered-ahead-of-big-wet/4536554

[ChrisC]

sooo over rain

[Gad]

Here`s more for you Chris :dry:

For people in the

Wide Bay and Burnett,

Southeast Coast and parts of the

Capricornia Forecast Districts.

Issued at 3:58 pm Sunday, 24 February 2013.

Synoptic Situation:

At 4pm AEST Sunday, a slow moving upper trough and associated upper low were situated across central Queensland. The upper trough and low are expected to move slowly eastwards while amplifying tonight and into Monday. A surface trough off the central and southeast Queensland coast is expected to move onto the coast during Monday.

Areas of HEAVY RAIN, which may lead to flash flooding, are expected to develop overnight tonight and during Monday in the Southeast Coast, Wide Bay and Burnett and far southern parts of the Capricornia districts. 24 hour totals of between 100 to 200mm are likely, with locally heavier totals in excess of 200mm possible particularly near the coast and about adjacent inland areas. Periods of more intense rain may deliver totals of up to 100mm over a shorter duration of up to 6 hours.

Locations which may be affected include Gladstone, Gympie, Bundaberg, Kingaroy, Hervey Bay, Fraser Island, the Sunshine Coast and adjacent hinterland areas, Brisbane, Ipswich and the Gold Coast and adjacent hinterland areas.

Emergency Management Queensland advises that people should:

* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.

* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.

* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

[spilt milk]

Yep this is exactly what I didn't want

I'm supposed to be packing up the 4b and caravan today and tomorrow, heading off on our honeymoon road trip around northern territory and Queensland for the next 3 months. Not looking good

[Gad]

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-02-25/focus-shifts-to-qld-as-nsw-cleans-up/4537072

The weather bureau has extended its earlier severe weather warning for heavy rainfall in Queensland's south-east coast, Wide Bay and Burnett and far southern Capricornia districts, adding the Darling Downs and Granite Belt to the list of areas likely to be affected.

Senior forecaster Jonty Hall says the activity will bring major downpours and flash flooding over the next three days and there could be falls of between 200 and 300 millimetres in parts.

"South of about the Fraser Island area is where we expect to see the heaviest falls for the next 24 hours or so, pretty much from Fraser down to the New South Wales border and inland to the ranges," he said.

"It is likely to be raining fairly continuously throughout that period, but the heavier falls will come in bursts on and off so it won't be particularly raining the whole time," he said.

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING

for HEAVY RAINFALL

For people in the

Wide Bay and Burnett,

Southeast Coast and parts of the

Capricornia and

Darling Downs and Granite Belt Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:46 pm Monday, 25 February 2013.

Synoptic Situation:

At 12pm AEST Monday, a slow moving upper low was situated across central Queensland. The upper low is expected to move slowly eastwards today and begin weakening from tonight. A surface trough currently sits from near Fraser Island to inland parts of the Southeast Coast District. A second surface trough lies offshore of the Capricorn coast and is expected to move west during the next 24 hours. The focus for heavy rain is expected to contract north during the next 24 to 48 hours.

Areas of HEAVY RAIN, which may lead to flash flooding, are expected about the coast and adjacent inland areas between Bundaberg and Brisbane today. Isolated heavy falls between St Lawrence and Bunderberg are also expected today, becoming more widespread overnight and during Tuesday. 24 hour totals of between 100 to 200mm are likely, with locally heavier totals in excess of 200mm possible, particularly near the coast. Periods of more intense rain may deliver totals in excess of 100mm over a shorter duration of up to 6 hours.

Currently, the heaviest rain is located on radar over the Sunshine Coast hinterland, the Lockyer Valley, Esk and Toowoomba. In the past three hours Toowoomba has recorded 52mm and Mt Mee 71mm, with measured 24 hour rainfall totals of 80 to 120mm in the area.

Locations which may be affected include Emu Park, Rockhampton, Gladstone, Gympie, Bundaberg, Kingaroy, Hervey Bay, Fraser Island, the Sunshine Coast and adjacent hinterland areas, Brisbane, Ipswich, the Lockyer Valley, Esk, Toowoomba and the Cunningham Range.

A Flood Warning is current for coastal rivers and adjacent inland catchments from St Lawrence to the NSW Border.